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  #11 (permalink)  
Old 06-23-2008, 03:35 PM
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Originally Posted by Oregon Elephant View Post
At the point when machines can do it. You can have a fleet of 100% robotic tractors take care of thousands of acres of farm land with no human help. We now have much of the cars are made by machine, the human input is getting smaller and smaller, so they move on to do something else, services. Eventually, we'll get to a state where people will only need to work 10 hours a day to get all their needs.
sounds deplorable... what will they do with the rest of their time? play video games?
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  #12 (permalink)  
Old 06-23-2008, 03:38 PM
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sorry, yes, week. the world's production:consumption will get better and better thanks to machines and technology and eventually allow everyone to have a well taken care of life and so we can cut down on the pruduction (by working less) and just enjoy life, as a world...sorry, I just woke up. What are we talking about?
hmmm... sounds downright utopian... let the machines do ALL the work and everyone draws a stipend from the state...

and you think the rest of the world is going to pay us to sit on our butts all day everyday and consume their products??
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Old 06-23-2008, 04:25 PM
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Originally Posted by TheStripey1 View Post
we didn't used to be... we used to make all our products and we looked down upon products made in other countries... do you remember when made in japan had the same connotation as made in china has today?
Yes, I know we didn't use to be that way and, yes, I do remember when "Made in Japan" meant the same thing as "Made in China" today - cheap junk!
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Old 06-23-2008, 04:32 PM
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Originally Posted by TheStripey1 View Post
we didn't used to be... we used to make all our products and we looked down upon products made in other countries... do you remember when made in japan had the same connotation as made in china has today?
Exactly. Many people see this fundamental shift as an inevitability.

So, let's say, then, within 50 years the US no longer produces anything. Outsourced and importing everything we consume. Is this necessarily a bad thing? Should we strive for some sort of material self-sufficiency?

Under this theory, all the wealth creation is done at the secondary (manufacturing) stage, NOT the service-based one. Therefore, we would have shifted all wealth creation to, say, China.

I think we may be setting ourselves up for very bad things, in terms of trade power and debts, if what this theory implies is true.
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Old 06-24-2008, 08:54 AM
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Exactly. Many people see this fundamental shift as an inevitability.

So, let's say, then, within 50 years the US no longer produces anything. Outsourced and importing everything we consume. Is this necessarily a bad thing? Should we strive for some sort of material self-sufficiency?

Under this theory, all the wealth creation is done at the secondary (manufacturing) stage, NOT the service-based one. Therefore, we would have shifted all wealth creation to, say, China.

I think we may be setting ourselves up for very bad things, in terms of trade power and debts, if what this theory implies is true.
Becoming entirely dependent on other countries (which is what will happen when we become a solely service- and consumer-based society) is bad for us because not only do we lose any real freedom we may still have left, we become a drag on the world economy.
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A panda walks into a cafe. He orders a sandwich, eats it, then draws a gun and fires two shots in the air.

"Why?" asks the confused waiter, as the panda makes toward the exit. The panda produces a badly punctuated wildlife manual and tosses it over his shoulder.

"I'm a panda," he says at the door. "Look it up."

The waiter turns to the relevant entry and, sure enough, finds an explanation.

"Panda. Large black-and-white bear-like mammal, native to China. Eats, shoots and leaves."

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Old 06-24-2008, 10:44 AM
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Becoming entirely dependent on other countries (which is what will happen when we become a solely service- and consumer-based society) is bad for us because not only do we lose any real freedom we may still have left, we become a drag on the world economy.
That's what I'm worried about. In order to have a reasonable trade balance, we'd have to have exportable goods, I would think. If we allow ourselves to outsource everything, and de-emphasize making anything, I don't see how that would be favorable. I'd certainly much rather deal from a position of strength, especially if we can pay this debt down.

Unless there's something I am missing in the big picture about how we'll stay afloat based purely on a service economy......
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Old 06-24-2008, 10:55 AM
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That's what I'm worried about. In order to have a reasonable trade balance, we'd have to have exportable goods, I would think. If we allow ourselves to outsource everything, and de-emphasize making anything, I don't see how that would be favorable.
It wouldn't be favorable to the US; but I'm sure folks on the other side of the pond would love it!

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I'd certainly much rather deal from a position of strength, especially if we can pay this debt down.
The debt is just one small part of the problem. The real problem is that our economy is a credit-based economy instead of a pay-as-you-go economy. Part of the result of this is that the dollar hasn't really been worth the paper it's printed on since the Federal Reserve took us off the gold standard. When there is nothing backing a currency, the currency is essentially worthless.

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Unless there's something I am missing in the big picture about how we'll stay afloat based purely on a service economy......
I don't think it's possible.
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A panda walks into a cafe. He orders a sandwich, eats it, then draws a gun and fires two shots in the air.

"Why?" asks the confused waiter, as the panda makes toward the exit. The panda produces a badly punctuated wildlife manual and tosses it over his shoulder.

"I'm a panda," he says at the door. "Look it up."

The waiter turns to the relevant entry and, sure enough, finds an explanation.

"Panda. Large black-and-white bear-like mammal, native to China. Eats, shoots and leaves."

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  #18 (permalink)  
Old 06-24-2008, 01:56 PM
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It wouldn't be favorable to the US; but I'm sure folks on the other side of the pond would love it!
Indeed. I wonder if this marks the end of our dominance.

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The debt is just one small part of the problem. The real problem is that our economy is a credit-based economy instead of a pay-as-you-go economy. Part of the result of this is that the dollar hasn't really been worth the paper it's printed on since the Federal Reserve took us off the gold standard. When there is nothing backing a currency, the currency is essentially worthless.
I have never understood exactly how an economy worked, not tied to actual gold, or whatever. A gold standard makes sense to me, as the dollar is respresenting a real value in a transcation, essentially a system of IOUs. Maybe I'm just stupid and simplistic.

I guess we can call this a "faith-based" economy?
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  #19 (permalink)  
Old 06-24-2008, 02:03 PM
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Originally Posted by Skerlnik View Post
Indeed. I wonder if this marks the end of our dominance.
Yes.

Quote:
I have never understood exactly how an economy worked, not tied to actual gold, or whatever. A gold standard makes sense to me, as the dollar is respresenting a real value in a transcation, essentially a system of IOUs. Maybe I'm just stupid and simplistic.

I guess we can call this a "faith-based" economy?
I believe it was intentionally engineered that way in order to make the citizenry dependent on the government.
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A panda walks into a cafe. He orders a sandwich, eats it, then draws a gun and fires two shots in the air.

"Why?" asks the confused waiter, as the panda makes toward the exit. The panda produces a badly punctuated wildlife manual and tosses it over his shoulder.

"I'm a panda," he says at the door. "Look it up."

The waiter turns to the relevant entry and, sure enough, finds an explanation.

"Panda. Large black-and-white bear-like mammal, native to China. Eats, shoots and leaves."

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