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Old 06-06-2008, 06:10 AM
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Finny Finny is offline
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Default Some Predictions and where the economy is going

I'll start off by saying its 6 am and I am calling the jobs report coming out this morning to be a -60,000 to -65,000.. pushing unemployment to 5.2%

In the next 18 months taking us in to late 2009.

The Fed will put interest rates between 6.5% to 9%, starting with a 1% hike in July 08 (possible a .50% later this month, depending on future job reports).. This hike in interest rates will be raised to combat inflation ( not measured by CPI) at 11% (CPI numbers being 5%). If the inflation is getting out of hand quicker then the Fed thought, the Interest rate will go up very quickly.. to 6% with in 2 months.

Starting 2Q 09 we will be in full recession led by the Consumer sector.
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Last edited by Finny : 06-06-2008 at 06:18 AM.
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